Author

Leigh Barber

Date of Award

2018

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelors

Department

Social Sciences

First Advisor

Reilly, Jack

Area of Concentration

Political Science

Abstract

Although approximately 97 percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities (NASA), many American politicians do not support policies to help mitigate the effects of climate change. The issue of global warming has quickly become one of the most divisive issues in American politics, with federal and state governments butting heads over environmental policies. During the Obama Administration, President Obama and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released the Clean Power Plan, which was a highly contested policy amongst states. This study examines which factors are behind states choosing to support or oppose the Clean Power Plan. This question was answered by conducting a quantitative analysis of several factors including energy consumption and production as well as party affiliation of the governor, attorneys general, and 2012 presidential election results, using logistic regression. Although this study predicted that factors other than party affiliation would impact a state’s decision, the findings indicate that party affiliation, particularly in the 2012 election, is the strongest indicator of support or opposition to the Clean Power Plan.

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